AI Track Record
AI analysis
AI generated, not an analyst opinionOver the last 90 days, 50.8% of 44,467 forecasts got the direction right; mean absolute error 2.80%.
- 771 models, 460 stocks; forecasts between June 30, 2026 and September 28, 2026.
- Highest directional accuracy: DOGUB (69.4%, 62 forecasts).
- Best model: v3 · PAMEL (74.2%).
AI-generated summary; not investment advice. Past accuracy is no guarantee of future results.
- Forecasts
- 44,467
- June 30, 2026 – September 28, 2026
- Directional accuracy
- 50.8%
- Mean absolute percentage error
- 2.80%
- Models
- 771
- Stocks
- 460
Top 20 stocks by directional accuracy
| 62 | 69.4% | 7.17% | 1 | |
| 29 | 69.0% | 1.63% | 1 | |
| 70 | 68.6% | 2.11% | 2 | |
| 63 | 68.3% | 8.47% | 1 | |
| 124 | 66.9% | 1.89% | 2 | |
| 54 | 66.7% | 2.32% | 1 | |
| 62 | 66.1% | 3.45% | 1 | |
| 116 | 65.5% | 2.17% | 2 | |
| 63 | 65.1% | 8.12% | 1 | |
| 57 | 64.9% | 3.87% | 1 | |
| 56 | 64.3% | 1.62% | 1 | |
| 56 | 64.3% | 3.37% | 1 | |
| 61 | 63.9% | 2.35% | 1 | |
| 61 | 63.9% | 4.34% | 1 | |
| 61 | 63.9% | 4.58% | 1 | |
| 58 | 63.8% | 3.77% | 1 | |
| 124 | 63.7% | 1.74% | 2 | |
| 63 | 63.5% | 5.00% | 1 | |
| 63 | 63.5% | 4.65% | 1 | |
| 38 | 63.2% | 1.66% | 1 |
Performance by model
| v3 | 62 | 74.2% | 1.90% | 87.9 | |
| v3 | 62 | 69.4% | 7.17% | 88.3 | |
| v3 | 62 | 69.4% | 3.07% | 82.7 | |
| v2 | 58 | 69.0% | 2.15% | 98.6 | |
| v4 | 29 | 69.0% | 1.63% | 93.7 | |
| v3 | 63 | 68.3% | 2.19% | 88.9 | |
| v3 | 63 | 68.3% | 8.47% | 70.7 | |
| v4 | 62 | 67.7% | 2.14% | 99.1 | |
| v3 | 62 | 67.7% | 1.63% | 88.2 | |
| v3 | 62 | 67.7% | 1.90% | 96.6 | |
| v3 | 62 | 67.7% | 5.85% | 90.9 | |
| v3 | 62 | 67.7% | 1.77% | 71.3 | |
| v3 | 61 | 67.2% | 3.59% | 90.3 | |
| v3 | 61 | 67.2% | 1.84% | 85.2 | |
| v3 | 63 | 66.7% | 2.67% | 81.8 | |
| v3 | 60 | 66.7% | 2.20% | 73.3 | |
| v4 | 54 | 66.7% | 2.32% | 98.0 | |
| v4 | 62 | 66.1% | 3.45% | 96.0 | |
| v3 | 56 | 66.1% | 2.05% | 80.7 | |
| v3 | 61 | 65.6% | 2.37% | 91.3 | |
| v3 | 52 | 65.4% | 0.96% | 81.0 | |
| v3 | 63 | 65.1% | 8.12% | 84.3 | |
| v3 | 60 | 65.0% | 2.96% | 87.4 | |
| v3 | 57 | 64.9% | 3.87% | 76.3 | |
| v2 | 62 | 64.5% | 2.22% | 96.2 | |
| v3 | 62 | 64.5% | 1.70% | 88.0 | |
| v3 | 62 | 64.5% | 5.17% | 91.0 | |
| v3 | 62 | 64.5% | 2.29% | 91.1 | |
| v3 | 62 | 64.5% | 2.36% | 85.5 | |
| v3 | 59 | 64.4% | 3.65% | 71.6 | |
| v4 | 56 | 64.3% | 1.62% | 92.1 | |
| v3 | 56 | 64.3% | 3.37% | 90.8 | |
| v2 | 61 | 63.9% | 2.22% | 97.2 | |
| v2 | 61 | 63.9% | 2.52% | 98.9 | |
| v4 | 61 | 63.9% | 2.35% | 99.4 | |
| v3 | 61 | 63.9% | 4.34% | 85.2 | |
| v3 | 61 | 63.9% | 2.32% | 82.8 | |
| v3 | 61 | 63.9% | 6.46% | 90.2 | |
| v3 | 61 | 63.9% | 4.58% | 85.1 | |
| v3 | 61 | 63.9% | 3.87% | 82.8 | |
| v3 | 58 | 63.8% | 3.77% | 87.8 | |
| v4 | 63 | 63.5% | 2.04% | 97.9 | |
| v4 | 63 | 63.5% | 4.21% | 98.9 | |
| v3 | 63 | 63.5% | 3.04% | 95.7 | |
| v3 | 63 | 63.5% | 5.00% | 88.5 | |
| v3 | 63 | 63.5% | 2.50% | 93.7 | |
| v3 | 63 | 63.5% | 1.40% | 76.6 | |
| v3 | 63 | 63.5% | 4.65% | 75.6 | |
| v3 | 63 | 63.5% | 1.83% | 90.4 | |
| v3 | 60 | 63.3% | 1.64% | 93.8 |
Related pages
About the track record
A comparison of the next-day close forecasts produced by Yatırımcı.AI’s AI models over the last 90 days with realised prices. Every forecast is stored with a timestamp on the day it is made and never altered; directional accuracy and mean absolute percentage error are computed by model and by stock.
Frequently asked questions
How is the hit rate calculated?
The model’s next-day close forecast is compared with today’s close to set the predicted direction (up or down). If the realised close the next day moves the same way, the forecast counts as a hit. Hit rate = Hits / Total forecasts. Days where the realised or predicted move is zero are excluded.
What does mean absolute percentage error mean?
It is the average of the absolute difference between the forecast close and the realised close, divided by the realised close. It measures the size of the miss regardless of direction; a 1% error means the forecast deviated from the realised price by 1% on average.
Does past accuracy carry into the future?
No. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Models learn from historical data and error can rise when the market regime changes. High accuracy on few samples can be luck. Forecasts are not investment advice.
Which forecasts are included?
All forecasts produced by active stock models within the last 90 days for which the realised close has been recorded. Tables list only models and stocks with at least 20 forecasts; the summary figures cover all forecasts.
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